SAG Awards Winners Predictions!

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SAG Awards Winners Predictions!


Tonight are the SAG Awards! This is one of the last major awards shows we get before the Oscars. With how hectic this award season has been in terms of the acting categories, this could really turn the tables. 


BEST STUNT ENSEMBLE

  • Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning
  • F1
  • Sinners
  • One Battle After Another
  • Frankenstein 
    • My Thoughts: This one is pretty easy to predict, this seems like Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning’s award to lose. Dead Reckoning won this award in 2024 so it seems like it’s going to win here. The Final Reckoning still got good reviews but not as good as the other film’s reviews have been. I don’t think that’s going to affect this film winning at all. If you loved or didn’t like the movie, we can all agree that the stunts in the film are fantastic. The final plane sequence is one that people have been talking about and rightfully so. The only other one I could see taking over Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning is F1. Top Gun: Maverick won in this category a few years back and it’s a similar movie. The other films Sinners, One Battle After Another, and Frankenstein seem like weird nominations. I don’t see any of them winning this category. 


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)
  • Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)
  • Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
  • Miles Caton (Sinners)
  • Paul Mescal (Hamnet)
    • My Thoughts: This is one where I don’t really have any clue what to predict here. When you factor in Critics Choice, Golden Globe, and the BAFTA we’ve gotten a different winner at each awards show. So I have no clue who is going to win this category. Depending on who wins this category, could determine who wins the Oscar. I’m going with Benicio del Toro on this one. My gut is telling me that the present opens the envelope and says the words “Benicio del Toro”. I can see it in my head, him getting on stage to accept this award and giving a speech. One Battle After Another broke the record at SAG with most nominations for a single film with seven nominations. So it has to win something, it has to win at least one award. I think if it’s going to win at least one, it’s going to be a supporting actor. I debated putting Sean Penn at #2. The thing I think hurts Penn is that he’s not super well liked in Hollywood. If this award ceremony is voted on by his peers and fellow actors, being well liked is important. I wouldn’t be shocked if Penn wins, I just don’t see it happening. I’m actually putting Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein, in my #2 spot. He’s another actor whose name I can see being called with him on stage giving his speech. It’s a weirder and quicker performance and I can see SAG really appreciating it. I don’t know if this gives him an advantage, but Frankenstein is a Netflix film and the SAG awards are being streamed to Netflix. I don’t know that’ll give him an advantage at all, but it’s possible. Miles Caton and Paul Mescal, thanks for playing but I don’t see either one of them winning. However, I sort of want one of them to win because that would cause so much chaos going into the Oscars.  


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Amy Madigan (Weapons)
  • Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
  • Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners)
  • Odessa A’zion (Marty Supreme)
  • Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)
    • My Thoughts: If Miles Caton and Paul Mescal would chaos in supporting actor if they were to win in supporting actor at SAG. If Odessa A’zion and Ariana Grande won here, then it would be more chaos for the supporting actress category. Once again, thanks for playing but I don’t see them winning. Two great performances that I wish were at the Oscars, but what are you going to do? The supporting actress category is an interesting one, because I feel confident at SAG but have no clue who to predict at the Oscars. SAG loves narrative and horror performances, so I think Amy Madigan has a strong shot to win this category. She’s only won the Critics Choice awards which were at the beginning of January, so the momentum for her has died down. But the industry loves a comeback story and she has that. I would love to see her up on that stage with a SAG award, that would be awesome as she was my favorite performance of 2025. The runner up position is interesting, it’s between Teyana Taylor for One Battle After Another and Wunmi Mosaku for Sinners. Like I said earlier, One Battle After Another broke the record for most nominations in SAG history. If One Battle After Another was going to take another award, I feel it could be in supporting actress. Wunmi Mosaku just won the BAFTA and I know people are starting to predict her to win the Oscar. I don’t know if that happens. She’s great in the movie, I wouldn’t personally vote for her. But I can also see her winning SAG since Sinners got several nominations at SAG. 


BEST ACTOR

  • Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
  • Timothée Chalamet (Marty Suprême)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
  • Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
  • Jesse Plemons (Bugonia)
    • My Thoughts: This is one that could really change the future of the best actor race. For months, Timothée Chalamet was the front runner favorite to win the Oscar. He got in everywhere he needed, he’s been winning in several critics groups, and he won at Critics Choice and Golden Globe. But he lost at BAFTA which is a big deal. How much does his BAFTA lose affect his Oscar changes? I don’t know, considering the winner wasn’t nominated at the Oscars. But if he loses at SAG (which I think is likely) then he’s in trouble. The reason why I don’t have Timothée winning here is that he won at SAG last year for A Complete Unknown. It’s been 20+ years since an actor or actress won SAG awards in consecutive years. Based on that, it’s not super likely that he wins here. It’s possible, but I don’t see it happening. In my first place spot I have Michael B. Jordan for Sinners. I can see a world where he wins. Does that mean he wins the Oscar? I don’t know. But Sinners was a favorite with SAG and he’s never won a major award before. So there’s a world where he wins here which would be awesome. He’s my favorite performance out of these 5 so I want him to win. DiCaprio and Hawke being the veterans of the group, they have a shot. DiCaprio could be strong since One Battle After Another is strong. And then, Hawke is a veteran who has never won a major award before. SAG could be thinking that they want to give him the award because he’s never won before. He’s playing an iconic person in show business so I can see him winning. But I don’t feel the momentum behind him, especially since Blue Moon hasn’t been strong most of the awards season. Maybe Hawke can win, but I don’t know if I see it happening. Once again, Jesse Plemons thanks for coming. You were great in the film but you’re not going to win. 


BEST ACTRESS

  • Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You)
  • Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
  • Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue)
  • Emma Stone (Bugonia)
  • Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another)
    • My Thoughts: This is an interesting one because the person that I’m predicting here isn’t the person that I’m predicting at the Oscars. I believe Jessie Buckley wins the Oscar. She’s been sweeping the awards season and Hamnet got a whole bunch of nominations. But for SAG, I’m going with Rose Byrne for If I Had Legs I’d Kick You. Why is that? Well, it helps in SAG when you know people. The SAG awards are voted on by other actors. Jessie Buckley is an international actress so I don’t know how many people in the industry know her. People in the industry know Rose Byrne, she’s been in Hollywood for a long time. I feel like there’s going to be an upset here and I think it could be the actress category. I can see Rose Byrne winning this award over Jessie Buckley. Would I be surprised if Buckley wins? Of course not. The wild card here that I could see winning is Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue. I don’t think she wins, but I can see a world where she gets up on stage to accept this award. How likely is it? Not very. Like I said, SAG is voted on by fellow actors so sometimes who you know helps you win. Kate Hudson knows a lot of people and is well liked. I think that’s why Jamie Lee Curtis won a few years back for Everything Everywhere All at Once. Emma Stone is an interesting one because she’s won several awards. She won this award for La La Land back in 2017, but lost in 2024 with Poor Things. There’s not that momentum and excitement behind Stone to the point where I think she wins anything major. Chase Infiniti, it’s cool that she got nominated. It seems like in the past they didn’t nominate young actors. It’s cool she got nominated here, I think for her, the nomination is the win. 

BEST ENSEMBLE

  • Sinners
  • One Battle After Another
  • Hamnet
  • Marty Supreme
  • Frankenstein 
    • My Thoughts: All awards season, the competition for the top spot has been between One Battle After Another and Sinners. One Battle After Another has taken home the major prizes at Critics Choice, Golden Globes, and BAFTA. But I don’t see One Battle After Another taking home the big prize at SAG. I’m actually picking Sinners for this one. Sinners have got to win a major prize at one of these televised award ceremonies. There’s a world where One Battle After Another takes this prize home and I wouldn’t be shocked. But at the end of the day, I think Sinners take this home. The reason why is that I think as far as ensembles go, it’s a better ensemble then Sinners. What do I mean by that? Well, the story for Sinners allows the actors to be together for most of the film. Michael B. Jordan, Wunmi Mosaku, Delroy Lindo, Hailee Steinfeld, and more all have multiple scenes together in the film. As an ENSEMBLE, Sinners is the better ensemble. One Battle After Another has great performances, it got five nominations. But given the plot of that film, the entire cast isn’t together. Leonardo DiCaprio is the only actor to share screentime with all of the other main cast members that were nominated. Hamnet, Marty Supreme, and Frankenstein, I don’t see either one of them winning. Especially with Frankenstein, it’s a weird nomination for me. The reason for that is because people were talking about Jacob Elordi leaving the film. People were not talking about Oscar Isaac or Mia Goth, they were good in the film. But they weren’t the highlights the way that Elordi was. I can see a world (a small world) where Hamnet wins this. That’s the reason why I have it in third place, it’s right behind One Battle After Another and Sinners at the Oscars. Jessie Buckley is a clear front runner in her category. But in a similar situation to Frankenstein, people are only talking about one performance really. Marty Supreme maybe could pull this off. It’s a great ensemble of a mix of different actors, whether they’re experienced or not, that’s interesting. I don’t see the bottom three winning but they could, crazier things have happened.  




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