2026 Golden Globe Nominations Predictions!

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2026 Golden Globe Nominations Predictions!

The 2026 Golden Globe nominations drop next week, which means I’m in the mood to start talking about them. With this, I’m going to share my predictions for who I think is going to be nominated in all of the movie categories. Let’s get started!


Best Picture (Drama)

  • Hamnet
  • Sentimental Value
  • Sinners
  • Frankenstein
  • Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • It Was Just an Accident
    • Honorable Mentions
      • The Secret Agent
      • Train Dreams
      • Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
  • My Thoughts: I feel like this is a fairly easy category to predict. Hamnet is one of the front runners at the Oscars. It released wide this past week, so it’s in that prime release date to be on the Golden Globe voters minds. I feel like this movie is going to win the category. All around, I think this is a pretty safe pick to be nominated. Sentimental Value and Sinners I think are locks, those are definitely getting in. Both of those are highly acclaimed films that people have been talking about for a while now. We talked about this in my Best Picture prediction at the Oscars, but I think Frankenstein gets in and is a safe lock to be nominated. The voters seem to love Guillermo del Toro, he’s a charming man so I think it gets in. Avatar: Fire and Ash doesn’t have any reviews counted, it’s on here simply for borrowed trust because the previous films got in. I believe critics are going to be seeing this movie very soon which means it’ll be fresh on their minds when voting for the Golden Globes. In that sixth spot I have It Was Just an Accident. This is one that a lot of people are putting higher on their lists. I don’t know anything about this movie, it’ s on here because based on the conversations I’m seeing it’ll be foolish not to mention it. I don’t know if the Golden Globes are going to nominate two international movies in this category. Sentimental Value is a lock and I don’t know if they’ll nominate two international movies here. They might, the Golden Globe voters I believe have a large international voting body but I don’t know if this’ll happen. 


Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

  • One Battle After Another
  • Marty Supreme
  • Wicked: For Good
  • Bugonia
  • Jay Kelly
  • Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
    • Honorable Mentions
      • The Testament of Ann Lee
      • No Other Choice
      • Song Sung Blue
  • My Thoughts: I find this to be a bit of a strange category and I think it’s category fraud that One Battle After Another is in this category and not a drama. The movie has humor inside of it but it’s not a comedy. This just seems like a weird pick. With all of that said, I think this is a lock to get in and possibly win. If the Oscars were tomorrow, I think this film would win Best Picture. Marty Supreme has just been killing it critics so that’s the runner up. This might surprise some people but I have Wicked: For Good in my third spot. I know the movie isn’t getting the best reviews but when the category is “musical or comedy”, you know that Wicked: For Good is getting in. Will it win? I don’t think so. Bugonia and Jay Kelly I don’t think are 100% locks, but they’re getting in. I don’t see a world where both of them miss, I think they’re both getting in. That sixth spot is where things get weird. I’ve seen people predict a whole bunch of different things. Some people are going with The Testament of Ann Lee, I haven’t seen the movie and I don’t really know what it’s about. In the sixth spot I have Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery. Maybe I’m biased because I loved that movie and it’s one of my favorites of the year, but the previous Knives Out films got in this category and it’s getting great reviews. 


Best Director

  • Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
  • Chloé Zhao (Hamnet)
  • Ryan Coogler (Sinners)
  • Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme)
  • Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value)
  • Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident)
    • My Thoughts: This is one that I feel confident about, I don’t have any honorable mentions. PTA has already been sweeping this award season, and I think he’ll continue to sweep and win multiple awards this award season. However, my runner up here is Chloé Zhao for Hamnet. If one movie is going to give One Battle After Another a run for its money at the Oscars for Best Picture, it’s Hamnet. I feel like PTA is going to win, but in some places I could see Chloé Zhao maybe winning. Coogler I think gets in, Sinners is going to do very well at this award season race. I have Josh Safdie in my 4th spot, some people are having him lower on the list and maybe I should too. But looking at when critics and voters are seeing this movie and the response to the movie, this movie is going to be on everybody’s minds and I think because of that, Safdie gets a director here. Will he get into directing at the Oscars? Only time will tell but I feel confident putting him in that fourth spot. I don’t have too many thoughts on Trier and Panahi, their films are big awards contenders so they feel like obvious picks here. 


Best Actress (Drama)

  • Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
  • Renate Reinsive (Sentimental Value)
  • Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love)
  • Julia Roberts (After the Hunt)
  • Tessa Thompson (Hedda)
  • Sydney Sweeney (Christy)
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Jodie Foster (A Private Life)
      • Mariam Afshari (It Was Just an Accident)
  • My Thoughts: This is an interesting one because normally with the lead acting categories, a majority of the people in the drama categories end up at the Oscars. But based on the conversations I’m hearing, I think only the top two on this list are getting in. Jessie Buckley seems to be the favorite to win the Oscar for Best Actress. Renate Reinsive is the star of Sentimental Value, a movie that’s going to show up all over awards season. I don’t know if she’ll win, but I think she’ll get nominated almost everywhere. Three through six I think are actresses that we’ll only see nominated here. In my third I have Jennifer Lawrence for Die My Love. I’m not super familiar with this movie, I don’t really know what it’s about but I do know that it polarized audiences and bombed opening weekend. Everybody seems to agree that Lawrence’s performance is the best thing about it and one of the best of her career. In a similar boat is Julia Roberts for After the Hunt, another movie that bombed at the box office and didn’t get great reviews. But Roberts is beloved in Hollywood and she hasn’t gotten this level of awards conversations in over 10 years. I have her in the #4 spot despite the movie not being the best reviewed. I’ve heard a little bit about Tessa Thompson in Hedda, the movie didn’t have much of a splash. It dropped on Prime Video at the end of October with not much chatter. But I’ve heard she’s great so I think she could get in. In that last place spot for me is Sydney Sweeney. Yet again, the star of a movie that bombed at the box office. I hope she gets in and gets nominated at a few places this award season. I think if the Best Actress in a Drama lineup was more stacked, she wouldn’t get in. But with there not being much competition I think she’ll get in. 


Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)

  • Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I’d Kick You)
  • Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good)
  • Emma Stone (Bugonia)
  • Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee)
  • Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue)
  • Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another)
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Eva Victor (Sorry, Baby)
      • Dakota Johnson (Materialists)
      • Jennifer Lopez (Kiss of the Spider Woman)
  • My Thoughts: This is interesting because I think the Best Actress race at the Oscars is going to be between Byrne, Erivo, Stone, Seyfried, Buckley, and Reinisve. Since that category only has five slots, one of them isn’t getting in. With the case of the top four ladies in this category, I really have no idea who is going to win. I can see a world where every one of them wins. At the beginning of this I had Erivo at #1 but Wicked: For Good isn’t good love as the first one. I’m going a bit ballsy but I have Rose Byrne in my #1 spot. The reason for that is the last couple of days she’s won a few awards at some of these smaller critics award shows in major cities. Clearly, there’s a lot of conversation and interest surrounding the performance. I have Stone in my #3 when I think some people will have her in their #4. The reason why I have Stone at #3 and Seyfried at #4 is because I think Bugonia gets into the best musical or comedy and I don’t think The Testament of Ann Lee does. At the same time, I can see a world where Seyfried wins the Golden Globe and gets nominated at a lot of other award shows. #5 is an interesting one, I have Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue. I haven’t seen the movie, but I'm very excited to see it soon. The reviews for the film have been decent, they haven’t been great but they haven’t been bad either. But what I’m hearing is that she’s the best thing about it. I think she gets in, and I think this is where Song Sung Blue gets the most nominations…with only one. I also do feel weird putting Chase Infinity at #6 considering I think One Battle After Another is going to do very well at the Golden Globes. We’ll talk about this later, but I have multiple other actors getting in for One Battle After Another. I don’t know if the Golden Globes are going to give that movie a nomination in every single acting category. But she’s great in the movie and a lot of people were talking about her leaving the movie.  


Best Actor (Drama)

  • Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
  • Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
  • Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
  • Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)
  • Daniel Day-Lewis (Anemone)
  • Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere)
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein)
      • Will Arnett (Is This Thing On?)
  • My Thoughts: Similar to actresses in a drama, I don’t see there be much competition in this category. The one I have at #1 is Wagner Moura for The Secret Agent. A movie that I haven’t seen, I don’t believe it’s opened wide in America yet. But I’ve been hearing his name surrounding award season ever since the movie premiered at Cannes earlier this year. Because of that, I think Moura is the #1 person is most likely to get in and he might win this. From there, I have Michael B. Jordan for Sinners at #2. I think the 2026 awards season is going to be the year where Michael B. Jordan finally gets award love. I think he’ll show up everywhere, will he win anything? I don’t know. But since Sinners is likely to be a heavy player at the award shows, I think Jordan gets in. Those two are locks for this category and I think we’ll see them at the Oscars. One that I can 100% see being at the Oscars but I can also see him missing depending on its staying power is Joel Edgerton for Train Dreams. This movie sort of came out of nowhere. But it dropped on Netflix and people have been singing the film’s praise and Edgerton’s performance. I think because of that and since it’s a newer release, I think he makes it in. #4 to #6 I think they will show up at the Golden Globes, maybe two of them can show up elsewhere. These next three performances I think will be picked just to fill up all 6 slots. I know The Smashing Machine bombed and critics weren’t super kind to the movie but I think Dwayne Johnson gets in. I don’t know if we’ll see him at as many award shows as I had thought earlier this year. After The Smashing Machine bombed many of us thought that Johnson’s chances went way down. A similar thing can be said about Daniel Day-Lewis in Anemone. I felt like this movie should’ve been more of an event. It’s Daniel Day-Lewis’ first movie in eight years and the movie just came and went. It didn’t make any splash, it flopped at the box office. I do think The Golden Globes are going to recognize Daniel Day-Lewis because it is Daniel Day-Lewis and recognize the importance of him returning to acting after eight years. In the last place, I have Jeremy Allen White. This is another movie that bombed, it didn’t get terrible reviews but nobody is loving this movie and praising it as one of the best of the year. I think that I enjoyed it more than most people, I would put him in a few of these categories. I think there’s a chance and what’ll help him is the fact that the Golden Globes loved The Bear and loved him in it. I think that might sway some of them to nominate him in this category. Oscar Isaac 


Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)

  • Timothée Chalamet (Marty Suprême)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
  • George Clooney (Jay Kelly)
  • Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
  • Daniel Craig (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)
  • Jesse Plemons (Bugonia)
    •  Honorable Mentions
      • Lee Byung-Hun (No Other Choice)
      • Hugh Jackman (Song Sung Blue)
      • Brendan Fraser (Rental Family)
  • My Thoughts: I think the entire Best Actor race this award season is going to be between Chalamet and DiCaprio. I think by putting them in the same category, obviously only one of them can win at the Golden Globes. The one I have at #1 is Timothée Chalamet. If he gets the Oscar nomination which as of right now I have no reason to believe he won’t, this will be third nomination. People are loving Marty Supreme and seem to love him in it, which means that I think Chalamet could sweep this award season. DiCaprio will be Chalamet’s biggest challenge, he’ll probably #2 when I make these predictions. He’s the star of a movie that I think is very likely to win Best Picture. And it’s Leonardo DiCaprio and people love him. In my third place slot I have George Clooney for Jay Kelly. He’s probably higher on my list than he is for most people. But Jay Kelly recently got lots of love at some AFI and other top institutions where it was picked as one of the 10 best movies of the year. Because of love for Jay Kelly in recent days, I think Clooney gets in here. Once again, he hasn’t gotten this level of awards talks in a while. He’s playing a movie star in Hollywood, which seems like an obvious nomination for the Golden Globes. Ethan Hawke is my #4 and he’s one that people actually have at #3. I debated what spot to put Clooney and what spot to Hawke. I put Hawke at #4, I think he 100% gets in. The reason why I’m not as confident with him is that I don’t think Blue Moon gets in anywhere else. I think Blue Moon is going to be one of those movies that I think as award season goes on, I think people will forget about. But at the same time, I’m hearing a lot of very positive things about his performance and he’s been campaigning and I think he’ll continue to campaign throughout award seasons. This next one might shock people and frankly I’m shocking myself but I have Daniel Craig at #5 for Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery. This might be a recent bias, I did love the movie. But given this is a third film where the previous two films got into both Best Musical or Comedy and Craig got into Actor in a Musical or Comedy, I would feel foolish not putting Craig on this list. 


Best Supporting Actress

  • Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)
  • Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
  • Amy Madigan (Weapons)
  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value)
  • Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)
  • Gwyneth Paltrow (Marty Supreme)
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Odessa A’zion (Marty Supreme)
      • Wumni Mosaku (Sinners)
      • Regina Hall (One Battle After Another)
      • Glenn Close (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)
  • My Thoughts: This is an interesting one because going into award season it was going to be Grande vs Taylor. Then Wicked: For Good comes out and people assume it’s Taylor’s award to win. But then some smaller critics groups give out their awards and Amy Madigan wins for Weapons. At one point, I thought there was a chance that she wouldn’t get in. But after she won some of the smaller ceremonies, I think she gets in and we’ll see her at several award shows. The reason why I don’t have her higher up is because I don’t think Weapons is going to get a picture nomination. I think she’ll get in but that’ll hurt her chances of winning. Those three I think are locks for Golden Globes and will be the faces we’ll see the most at award shows. In the fourth and fifth spot I have the two actresses from Sentimental Value. Based on what I’m hearing, I think the Golden Globes are going to like Sentimental Value a lot and will be the ceremony where it gets the most love. I debated who goes in that sixth spot. I think it’s going to be one of the supporting actresses from Marty Supreme. I’m going with Paltrow just because she’s an established name. I feel like the Golden Globes are going to balance out the veterans of Madigan and Paltrow with the younger actresses that are also likely to be nominated. I could be wrong, I’ve been hearing a lot of very positive things about Odessa A’zion’s performance in Marty Supreme. Wumni Mosaku was one that I actually didn’t have on this list, but she’s won a couple of smaller awards but I don’t know if the Golden Globes are going to recognize her performance.  


Best Supporting Actor

  • Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)
  • Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
  • Benicio del Toro (One Battle After Another)
  • Paul Mescal (Hamnet)
  • Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)
  • Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Delory Lindo (Sinners)
      • Jonathan Bailey (Wicked: For Good)
      • Josh O’Connor (Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery)
  • My Thoughts: This is one that for a while seemed like it was a race between Skarsgård and Penn. One of them hasn’t earned this level of awards recognition at all. The other one already has two Oscars but hasn’t earned awards in nearly 20 years. But then Benicio del Toro won a couple of smaller awards at critics award shows. For a while, I was thinking maybe Benicio might not get in but there’s been a resurgence around him these last couple of weeks. We’ll see who wins the Critics Choice and the Golden Globes, but as of right now I think it’s a three horse race for supporting actors at the Oscars. Now for the Golden Globes, I think Skarsgård is the top dog and the one most likely to win. Because I think with Penn and del Toro they’re going to be splitting votes which’ll make Skarsgård’s path to victory much easier. Paul Mescal for Hamnet is in my #4, I think he’s getting in everywhere. From the Golden Globes to the Oscars. For the fifth and sixth spot, I went back and forth. In my fifth spot, I have Adam Sandler for Jay Kelly. Maybe I’m putting too much faith into Jay Kelly and thinking it’s going to get all of these nominations. But there’s been so much chatter around Sandler’s performance in this movie, it’s a movie about Hollywood and actors, I just think Sandler gets in. This is finally going to be the award season that gives Sandler the recognition that many believe he’s deserved for years now. In that sixth place spot, I have Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein. This is one that I can see him getting in, but I can also see him missing. I think he’ll show up at Critics Choice for sure. Beyond that, I can see a world where he misses a lot of places. I can also see a world where he gets nominated at a lot of places. 


Best Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • Sinners
  • K-Pop: Demon Hunters
  • A Minecraft Movie
  • Zootopia 2
  • Wicked: For Good
  • Weapons
  • Superman 
    • Honorable Mentions
      • Ne Zha 2
      • F1
      • Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning
      • Lilo & Stitch 
  • My Thoughts: This is one that people don’t really like and think it’s a lazy excuse of a category. But it’s a movie category and I wanted to talk about it. This is a tricky one to predict. But at my #1 I have Avatar: Fire and Ash. This movie is going to make over $1 billion and it has a chance to make over $2 billion, because of that I feel like you have to include it on this list. But when these nominations go up, audiences won’t have seen the movie. If this movie gets nominated, it’s basically going to be predicting that Avatar: Fire and Ash is a cultural event and it makes a lot of money, that seems weird. I have it at my #1 but I don’t feel great about it. Sinners I think is getting in, it got great reviews and for an original horror movie it just knocked it out of the park. I think Sinners fall into this category. This might be a hot take but I have K-POP: Demon Hunters at my #3 on this list. I know some people will probably predict this movie to win. I think it has a great shot to win. My only thing holding this movie back is that the category has “box office achievement” in the title. When Netflix dropped the movie in theaters it did great numbers, but it’s a streaming movie so I don’t know if they’re going to look at a limited theatrical release as a “box office achievement”. I think it gets in, but if it misses I don’t think it’s the most shocking thing out there. A Minecraft Movie is getting in here. Honestly, I can see a world where A Minecraft Movie wins. It made nearly $1 billion at the box office and the conversations surrounding that movie and the theatrical experience that it had, it’s 100% getting in. Zootopia 2 is just knocking it out of the park in terms of reviews and box office. It’s looking to have a great 2nd weekend drop, it’ll make $1 billion within the coming weeks. Lower than I expected to put it, I have Wicked: For Good. I think the movie gets in, it’s doing good numbers at the box office. If the reviews were stronger and more on the level of the original, I’d put it higher up. My #7 and #8 are Weapons and Superman. Weapons being another original horror movie both got great reviews and has great box office numbers. I think I will show up in another category at this award show. Superman is my #8, I think I can see a world where it misses. I think they’re going to nominate a comic book movie and Superman seems like the most obvious one to me as it’s the highest grossing. One honorable mention that I think could get in and take Superman’s place is Ne Zha II. It made over $2 billion, but its impact in the United States isn’t big. If it’s domestic box office was bigger then I think it would get in. It’s also a foreign film and I don’t know if the Golden Globes will acknowledge a foreign film in this category. 


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